betting strategies

What Is a Saver Bet? A saver bet is a smaller stake placed on a secondary runner to break even if your main selection loses. It’s often used as an emotional hedge — but it can dilute your edge. Why It’s Risky When It Might Be Useful Example You back a $6.00 overlay with a […]

What Are Market Movements? Market movements refer to changes in betting odds leading up to a race. These shifts are driven by betting volume, insider information, syndicate activity, and public sentiment. Understanding these movements helps punters interpret where the “smart money” is going. Types of Movements Movement Type Meaning Implication for Punters Plunge Odds shorten

Why Tracking Is Non-Negotiable Think of punting like running a business. Without tracking bets, ROI, and overlay performance, you’re guessing — and successful punters don’t guess. What to Track Metric Why It Matters Date & Race Contextual trends (e.g. weekends) Runner & Odds Performance relative to overlay Stake & Result Cash flow and bankroll health

Why Midweek Racing Offers Value Midweek races — often held in provincial towns — are rich in betting opportunity for one key reason: inefficient markets. These events draw less public attention, smaller fields, and more automated bookmaker pricing, creating fertile ground for overlay identification. Key Tracks to Watch State Value Tracks NSW Grafton, Moruya, Dubbo

What’s the Real Difference? While bookmakers and exchanges both offer betting markets, they operate on fundamentally different models. In Australia, Betfair dominates the exchange space, allowing punters to bet against each other rather than against a bookie. Feature Bookmakers Exchanges (e.g. Betfair) Odds Set by the bookie Determined by market supply/demand Lay Betting ❌ No

Why Frame Your Own Market?  Framing your own market is the cornerstone of professional betting. It allows you to assess each runner’s chance independently of the bookmaker’s odds, giving you control over your betting decisions and helping you identify genuine overlays.  Unlike bookmakers, who build in a margin (often 115–130%), your personal market can be

In the world of horse racing, punters often face a strategic dilemma: should they chase a higher strike rate by backing favourites and short-priced runners, or pursue long-term profitability by targeting high overlay runners – those whose market odds exceed their assessed value?  This article explores the concept of overlays, compares their profitability to low